A War with North Korea . . . Only by Accident

AlJEZEERA's English Website posted an article today titled "N Korea readies rockets to strike US bases."  "Kim Jong-un gives order and blasts Washington with angry rhetoric after US stealth bombers flown over South Korea."

Order?  Order for what you ask?  "The North's official Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) news agency said on Friday that Kim signed off on the orders at a midnight meeting of top generals and 'judged the time has come to settle accounts with the US imperialists in view of the prevailing situation'." Give us a break.  Really . . .

Kim Jong-un is a pampered, spoiled little boy who never spent a day in the real world -not even the North Korean surreal one. He talks the talk, but certainly is not ignorant enough to even attempt to walk the walk. . .well, at least let's hope so. 

Here's the bottom line: (1) it is estimated that North Korea possesses an army of more than one million soldiers.  This is what the U.S. Army and Marines call a target servicing problem: so many enemy to kill and only a finite amount of weapons systems and kinetic projectiles; (2) North Korean artillery is so robust that many experts estimate that artillery barrages alone could destroy the South Korean capital city of Seoul without moving a single troop over the demilitarized zone; (3) there are approximately 30,000 American troops stationed in South Korea (give or take a few thousand) and as good as they are, human assault waves of tens of thousands of armed warriors always present a daunting challenge and will register a maximum pucker factor within South Korean and U.S. troops; (4) the U.S. ground forces are but logistically decimated after all-to-many years of warfare in Afghanistan and Iraq.  Equipment is broken, repair parts and supplies are in great demand but scarce. Units are under strength; soldiers are bailing at an alarming rate.  They are tired, battler worn and damaged-many beyond full repair; (5) the tactical nuclear option is no doubt on the table because the United States has nowhere near the necessary boots on the ground to commit to an extended conventional war on the Korean Peninsula.

Our politicians must tread lightly.  An armed conflict with North Korea will not be incurred intentionally by the North or the South.  The only way it can happen is by accident: poor communication, miss-communication, political blunder, inadvertent kinetic release on the ground, or an exchange of fire at sea.